Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 67.133634 74.900102 82.894436 91.716583 101.157566 110.936961 121.811405
2025-06-01 53.324622 64.545242 76.709614 90.781510 106.516482 123.478481 143.053752
2025-06-08 45.830229 58.778043 73.329415 90.701190 110.683995 132.768239 158.836007
2025-06-15 41.531560 55.962456 72.678225 93.153295 117.242426 144.385618 176.980688
2025-06-22 37.096968 52.414538 70.671567 93.570571 121.064659 152.580625 190.998430
2025-06-29 33.471445 49.457466 69.024477 94.100761 124.759553 160.435912 204.492695
2025-07-06 29.121135 45.167907 65.374527 91.858900 124.845555 163.817324 212.568430
2025-07-13 27.622556 44.444259 66.079871 94.906792 131.293285 174.746778 229.598418
2025-07-20 25.807876 43.122862 65.877831 96.698270 136.116299 183.686733 244.262857
2025-07-27 23.951340 41.580722 65.253439 97.838825 140.049268 191.505044 257.576152
2025-08-03 23.123871 41.417542 66.413438 101.264756 146.865229 202.890762 275.293349
2025-08-10 21.556441 40.050832 65.836493 102.320635 150.601549 210.443362 288.332734
2025-08-17 19.028189 37.098626 62.962087 100.247181 150.295710 213.009344 295.359728
2025-08-24 17.049347 34.828410 60.918857 99.194746 151.251820 217.134353 304.337762
2025-08-31 15.550362 33.182237 59.659305 99.121538 153.424061 222.754803 315.165197
2025-09-07 14.907796 32.877320 60.329356 101.723311 159.171035 232.983709 331.861635
2025-09-14 13.760339 31.629089 59.515631 102.166875 161.972450 239.401667 343.745872
2025-09-21 12.739509 30.508832 58.824776 102.729640 164.899865 245.971164 355.838011
2025-09-28 11.139879 28.210695 56.185106 100.349192 163.689151 247.054331 360.843827
2025-10-05 10.886523 28.351325 57.369645 103.585262 170.275773 258.440123 379.191512
2025-10-12 10.370747 27.954002 57.665087 105.486437 175.002465 267.387001 394.430715
2025-10-19 9.752961 27.306286 57.516220 106.696487 178.750234 275.043431 408.028566
2025-10-26 9.634225 27.630807 58.962305 110.329606 185.951771 287.360376 427.775749